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Geopolitical Alpha
Book

Geopolitical Alpha

An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future

Marko Papic
Wiley, 2020

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Editorial Rating

8

Qualities

  • Applicable
  • Bold
  • Visionary

Recommendation

Fiscal restraint? That’s so last-decade. Get ready for a new era of populist policies and bigger government, predicts political analyst Marko Papic. In this intriguing study, Papic argues neither for nor against any particular ideology. Rather, his job is to figure out the trends that are shaping policy – and investment portfolios. As a result of the shift away from small government and fiscal responsibility, Papic predicts that inflation and even stagflation could return as threats in the 2020s. While getAbstract never gives investment advice, it believes investors and political risk analysts will appreciate this forward-looking text.

Take-Aways

  • Investors can’t afford to ignore politics.
  • Reading political trends isn’t easy for professional money managers.
  • Beware of “attribution error,” the tendency to give credit or blame to one powerful actor.

About the Author

Marko Papic is a partner and chief strategist at Clocktower Group, an alternative investment management firm in California.

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