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The Signals Are Talking
Book

The Signals Are Talking

Why Today’s Fringe Is Tomorrow’s Mainstream

Public Affairs, 2016 Mehr


Editorial Rating

8

Qualities

  • Analytical
  • Innovative
  • Concrete Examples

Recommendation

In this witty, mostly nontechnical primer, futurist Amy Webb outlines the steps that futurists use to predict coming trends. She even answers the age-old question: Why don’t we have flying cars yet? Webb, the founder of the Future Today Institute, says trends begin as experiments on the fringes of science and society. She explains how to discern “signals” and patterns among seemingly unconnected experiments, how to extrapolate possible future scenarios from them and how to devise appropriate strategies for each scenario. She also shows how to distinguish real trends from merely trendy ideas. Her enjoyable read has a few patches that aren’t as easy to understand as the rest of the book, spots where Webb buries her points under technical details or arcane examples. And, just to post a warning, the report on one case history about a chatbot that went rogue cites ethnic slurs and biased ideations. Despite these difficulties, getAbstract believes the principles in Webb’s mind-bending book will aid business and marketing strategists, planners and venture capitalists.

Take-Aways

  • The future doesn’t just happen; people create the future.
  • To predict future mainstream trends, look for innovations on the fringe.
  • Next, look for patterns among seemingly isolated fringe events.

About the Author

Amy Webb is a quantitative futurist and founded the Future Today Institute. She is a professor of strategic foresight at New York University’s Stern School of Business. 


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    A. R. 4 years ago
    Interesting topic, however as English is not my mother tongue, can someone explain if the term "fringe" is intended to mean "at the edge of something" or is meant to be something atypical? That clarification would help my understanding of the author's ideas