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East Asia’s Coming Population Collapse
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East Asia’s Coming Population Collapse

And How It Will Reshape World Politics

Nicholas Eberstadt
Foreign Affairs, 2024
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In the years spanning 2020–2050, according to United Nations experts, East Asian countries will experience consequential population declines. This loss of human capital will have impacts on economic opportunity, growth, societal cohesion, military might, and civic stability throughout the region. Political economist Nicholas Eberstadt examines the East Asian demographic narrative and its potential reconfigurations of the world’s socioeconomic and geopolitical power structures. Business leaders and investors will find this an insightful and informative analysis.

Take-Aways

  • East Asian countries will experience dramatic population declines in the coming decades.
  • Because their fertility rates are below their replacement rates, East Asian nations will be unable to mitigate population contraction.
  • A shrinking and aging population will place enormous pressure on the economic and human capital of East Asia, and it will influence global geopolitics.

About the Author

Nicholas Eberstadt is the Wendt Chair in Political Economy at the American Enterprise Institute.

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