Cambridge Business Association
Managing Commodity Price Uncertainties
Report

Managing Commodity Price Uncertainties

Matthias Tauber, Martin Feth and Tycho Möncks
Boston Consulting Group, 2015
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Editorial Rating

8

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Recommendation

It’s the rare forecaster who can accurately predict commodity price movements. In this expert report, Boston Consulting Group professionals Matthias Tauber, Martin Feth and Tycho Möncks offer a four-step process for making sense of gold, iron ore and other natural resources. Their guide isn’t a foolproof way to make money on commodities, but it serves as a useful decision-making tool for investors and producers. getAbstract recommends this report to those aiming to boost the accuracy of their predictions.

Summary

Commodity prices are notoriously volatile and hard to predict. Accurately divining how much, say, gold, copper or iron ore will trade for next year, or even tomorrow, isn’t possible. Despite the challenges commodities pose, investors and producers have little choice but to place their bets. Traders taking positions, as well as mining firms deciding whether to build new facilities or to ramp up production at existing ones, use projections. Forecasters usually rely on past patterns to dictate their predictions, but increasing instability renders most of them inaccurate. Take four steps to improve your forecasts:

  1. “Understand your market’s ...

About the Authors

Matthias Tauber, Martin Feth and Tycho Möncks are professionals with the Boston Consulting Group.

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