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The Wisdom of Crowds
Book

The Wisdom of Crowds

Why the Many Are Smarter Than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies, Societies and Nations

Doubleday Broadway, 2004
First Edition: 2004 mais...


Editorial Rating

9

Qualities

  • Innovative

Recommendation

This well-written bestseller explores the apparent anomaly that crowds of nonexperts seem to be collectively smarter than individual experts or even small groups of experts. This basic insight is at the heart of contemporary financial investment theory, with its emphasis on the difficulty of outguessing the market. Beginning with British scientist Francis Galton’s remarkable discovery in 1906 that a crowd of nonexperts proved surprisingly competent at guessing the weight of an ox, financial columnist and author James Surowiecki skillfully recounts experiments, discoveries and anecdotes that demonstrate productive group thinking. The concept does not come as news to anyone reasonably well read in modern financial literature, but getAbstract recommends this comprehensive, fresh presentation.

Take-Aways

  • Randomly assembled groups of nonexperts consistently demonstrate more astuteness than individual experts.
  • Crowds are very good at solving cognition, coordination and cooperation problems.
  • To be wise, crowds need to be diverse, independent and decentralized.

About the Author

James Surowiecki is a staff writer at The New Yorker, which publishes his popular business column, "The Financial Page."


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