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The Polling Crisis Is a Catastrophe for American Democracy
Article

The Polling Crisis Is a Catastrophe for American Democracy

If public-opinion data are unreliable, we’re all flying blind.

The Atlantic, 2020


Editorial Rating

9

Qualities

  • Applicable
  • Eye Opening
  • Bold

Recommendation

Prior to the 2020 United States elections, polls suggested former Vice President Joe Biden would defeat President Donald Trump in a landslide, that Democrats would gain control of the Senate and add seats to their House majority. Though Joe Biden won, polls proved inaccurate at every level, to a degree that raised wide questions from voters, politicians and pundits regarding polling’s methodology and value. As David A. Graham writes in The Atlantic, this election is a disaster for the polling industry. But, he suggests, the real disaster is that without reliable polls there are few methods other than elections to determine what Americans – or people anywhere – think about crucial issues.

Take-Aways

  • Polling inaccuracies in the 2020 elections were a calamity for the polling industry and the media.
  • Polling has dominated policy and politics for more than 20 years.
  • Pollsters don’t know what went wrong in 2016 0r in 2020.

About the Author

David A. Graham, a staff writer at The Atlantic, previously edited its politics section and reported for Newsweek, The Wall Street Journal and The National.