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Global Trends 2040

US National Intelligence Council

US Government, 2021

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This seventh edition of the US National Intelligence Council’s Global Trends Report projects outward to 2040. After analyzing demographic, environmental, technological, political and economic trends, the government-based authors arrive at five possible future scenarios. The scenarios range from pessimistic to frightening. Only one offers hope. The authors predict a hotter, more polarized, tense and dangerous world – unless a profound political and technological breakthrough emerges, and nations and individuals unite with urgent purpose.

Take-Aways

The COVID-19 pandemic halted global gains in living standards.
Dashed hopes and declining prospects have provoked dissatisfaction, cynicism and mistrust, even in advanced economies.
These challenges will worsen over the next two decades and beyond.

About the Author

The National Intelligence Council reports to the US Director of National Intelligence, the head of the US intelligence community. Every four years, at the beginning of the US president's new term, it produces a Global Outlooks forecast.

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