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The Fed’s Shifting Perspective on the Economy and Its Implications for Monetary Policy
Article

The Fed’s Shifting Perspective on the Economy and Its Implications for Monetary Policy


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Editorial Rating

8

Qualities

  • Analytical
  • Scientific
  • Background

Recommendation

As any investor or executive knows, financial markets in the United States and abroad are highly sensitive to announcements from the Federal Reserve regarding its outlook for the economy and its plans to raise or lower interest rates. With such a high degree of economic uncertainty in the world today, Fed communications remain the economic tea leaves that market observers seek to interpret. Former Fed chair Ben S. Bernanke explains the recent changes in Fed thinking and what they might mean for the economy. getAbstract recommends his erudite article to Fed watchers, economists and others interested in the nuances of economic forecasting.

Take-Aways

  • The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) strongly influences Fed thinking and actions.
  • While the FOMC issues little clear guidance, it is possible to glean some insight from discussions its individual members have about the projections they provide on key economic indicators.
  • Over the past few years, and particularly since 2015, FOMC forecasts have been moving lower.

About the Author

Ben S. Bernanke, chair of the Federal Reserve from 2006 to 2014, is a distinguished fellow in residence at the Brookings Institution.


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