World Risk Alert April 18th 2013
Article

World Risk Alert April 18th 2013

Global Risk Scenarios

The Economist Intelligence Unit
EIU, 2013
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8

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Recommendation

The Economist Intelligence Unit’s April 2013 global risk analysis discusses 10 potential scenarios that could tilt the economic status quo. Though this short, candid overview lacks details, its conclusions are significant. getAbstract recommends it to business leaders and risk managers seeking a checklist of situations and their likelihood.

Summary

Any number of geopolitical and economic scenarios could affect global businesses for better or worse. The Economist Intelligence Unit ranks 10 potential outcomes according to “risk intensity” (on a 25-point scale), a product of “probability” and “impact”:

  1. A euro-zone member exits the single currency – Ongoing austerity, the bungled Cyprus bailout, political tensions and a lack of financial reform progress imperil EU stability. A euro-zone rupture would ravage the global economy. Risk intensity: 20.
  2. Protectionism escalates – In reaction to “real and alleged currency manipulation,” more countries ...

About the Author

The Economist Intelligence Unit is an independent research and analytics organization that offers forecasting and advisory services.

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